UMPIRY
EN

Daria Gorska vs Mariya Yemshanova — W15 Bol Round of 32

W15 BolR32ClayWed 21 Oct · 10:30
Daria GorskaPOL63%
VSSlight edge · Gorska D.
Mariya YemshanovaUKR37%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Gorska D.
63%37%

Gorska D. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Gorska D.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Yemshanova M.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
What we know
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 481
Clay ELO1 484
Last 103–7
Age21
ELO1 452
Clay ELO1 452
Last 101–9
Age18

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Gorska D.Yemshanova M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–7 (ahead)1–9
Season win rate35% (6–11) (ahead)0% (0–8)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1481 (ahead)1452
Clay-court ELO1484 (ahead)1452
Serve vs returnLast 14 vs 6 matches
1st-serve points won63% (ahead)38%
Return points won43% (ahead)41%
Aces / match1.5 (ahead)0.0
ClutchLast 14 vs 6 matches
Break points saved46% (ahead)33%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:30 local
SurfaceClay · slow
Forecast20°C · Thunderstorm
Wind20 km/h
Humidity89%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Daria Gorska vs Mariya Yemshanova — W15 Bol Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/gorska-vs-yemshanova-w15-bol-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).