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V. Gogineni vs Cezar Gabriel Papoe — M15 Ithaca Round of 32

M15 IthacaR32HardWed 21 Oct · 12:00
V. Gogineni(6)ATP #750 · USA46%
VSToss-up
Cezar Gabriel PapoeROU54%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
46%54%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Gogineni V.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Papoe C.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Surface switchClay → HardAgainst the prediction · Gogineni V.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 533
Hard ELO1 525
Last 105–5
Age56
ELO1 577
Hard ELO1 501
Last 106–4
Age19

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Gogineni V.Papoe C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–56–4 (ahead)
Season win rate55% (11–9)69% (11–5) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15331577 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1525 (ahead)1501
Serve vs returnLast 7 matches each
1st-serve points won65% (ahead)61%
Return points won37%49% (ahead)
Aces / match1.3 (ahead)0.4
ClutchLast 7 matches each
Break points saved54%66% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast11°C · Clear
Wind2 km/h
Humidity42%

Cite this

Umpiry, "V. Gogineni vs Cezar Gabriel Papoe — M15 Ithaca Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/gogineni-vs-papoe-m15-ithaca-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).