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Anton Shepp vs Reece Falck — M25 Tamworth Round of 32

M25 TamworthR32HardWed 21 Oct · 10:00
Anton Shepp(6)ATP #487 · NZL62%
VSSlight edge · Shepp A.
Reece FalckNZL38%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Shepp A.
62%38%

Shepp A. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Shepp A.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Falck R.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 5Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 574
Hard ELO1 559
Last 104–6
Age23
ELO1 549
Hard ELO1 552
Last 103–7
Age24

Anton Shepp faces Reece Falck in the M25 Tamworth round of 32 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Anton Shepp carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Anton Shepp 4 of 9, Reece Falck 3 of 9 on hard recently — Anton Shepp the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Shepp A.Falck R.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–6 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate39% (7–11) (ahead)33% (3–6)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1574 (ahead)1549
Hard-court ELO1559 (ahead)1552
Serve vs returnLast 12 vs 5 matches
1st-serve points won70%71% (ahead)
Return points won37% (ahead)34%
Aces / match5.35.6 (ahead)
ClutchLast 12 vs 5 matches
Break points saved48%68% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast20°C · Partly cloudy
Wind2 km/h
Humidity65%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Anton Shepp vs Reece Falck — M25 Tamworth Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/falck-vs-shepp-m25-tamworth-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).