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Josefina Estevez vs Maria Florencia Urrutia — W15 Campina Grande Round of 32

W15 Campina GrandeR32ClayWed 21 Oct · 10:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Urrutia M.
33%67%

Clear edge for Urrutia M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Estevez J.5.9/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Urrutia M.5.9/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on claySupports Urrutia M.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 560
Clay ELO1 557
Last 107–3
Age18
EarningsCareer $13K2026 $3K
ELO1 602
Clay ELO1 600
Last 106–4
Age25
EarningsCareer $48K2026 $19K

Josefina Estevez faces Maria Florencia Urrutia in the W15 Campina Grande round of 32 on clay. Maria Florencia Urrutia holds the paper edge — ranked #454, leading the head-to-head 2–0.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Urrutia M. leads 2–0
02

Evidence

Estevez J.Urrutia M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate59% (17–12) (ahead)58% (31–22)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15601602 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO15571600 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 23 vs 47 matches
1st-serve points won59% (ahead)56%
Return points won51% (ahead)50%
Aces / match0.40.7 (ahead)
ClutchLast 23 vs 47 matches
Break points saved53% (ahead)51%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:30 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast28°C · Drizzle
Wind23 km/h
Humidity58%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Josefina Estevez vs Maria Florencia Urrutia — W15 Campina Grande Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/estevez-vs-urrutia-w15-campina-grande-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).