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Mariia Drobysheva vs Sapfo Sakellaridi — W15 Bol Round of 32

W15 BolR32ClayWed 21 Oct · 17:05
Mariia DrobyshevaUKR28%
VSClear favourite · Sakellaridi S.
Sapfo Sakellaridi(2)WTA #446 · GRE72%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Sakellaridi S.
28%72%

Clear edge for Sakellaridi S. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Drobysheva M.4.7/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Sakellaridi S.4.3/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form2 of last 8 on clayInformative
Recent runLost last 5Informative
Surface switchGrass → ClayAgainst the prediction · Drobysheva M.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 515
Clay ELO1 519
Last 106–4
Age19
EarningsCareer $3K2026 $2K
ELO1 581
Clay ELO1 567
Last 104–6
Age23
EarningsCareer $265K2026 $38K

Mariia Drobysheva faces Sapfo Sakellaridi in the W15 Bol round of 32 on clay. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Surface form: Mariia Drobysheva 5 of 9, Sapfo Sakellaridi 4 of 9 on clay recently — Mariia Drobysheva the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Drobysheva M.Sakellaridi S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate52% (11–10) (ahead)45% (30–37)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15151581 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO15191567 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 13 vs 64 matches
1st-serve points won55%65% (ahead)
Return points won47% (ahead)43%
Aces / match0.63.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 13 vs 64 matches
Break points saved48%53% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

17:05 local
SurfaceClay · slow
Forecast21°C · Thunderstorm
Wind14 km/h
Humidity88%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mariia Drobysheva vs Sapfo Sakellaridi — W15 Bol Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/drobysheva-vs-sakellaridi-w15-bol-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).