Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Cherubini D.
63%37%
Cherubini D. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.
Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Cherubini D.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Hejtmanek A.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form2 of last 5 on hardInformative
CountryWon 56% in USA (43)Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 576
Hard ELO1 515
Last 105–5
Age24
ELO1 546
Hard ELO1 504
Last 105–5
Age18
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Cherubini D.Hejtmanek A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–55–5
Season win rate42% (20–28)53% (19–17) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1576 (ahead)1546
Hard-court ELO1515 (ahead)1504
Serve vs returnLast 45 vs 26 matches
1st-serve points won56%60% (ahead)
Return points won46%46%
Aces / match0.61.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 45 vs 26 matches
Break points saved49% (ahead)48%
Draw
Odds
Conditions
10:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast19°C · Overcast
Wind3 km/h
Humidity54%
Cite this
Umpiry, "Diletta Cherubini vs Amelie Justine Hejtmanek — W35 Bakersfield Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/cherubini-vs-hejtmanek-w35-bakersfield-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).