Jonah Braswell vs Eli Stephenson | M15 Ithaca Round of 32

UMPIRY

M15 IthacaR32HardWed 21 Oct · 12:00

Jonah BraswellUSA52%

VSToss-up

Eli StephensonUSA48%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

52%48%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Braswell J.4.5/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Stephenson E.5.6/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Recent runLost last 2Informative

CountryWon 54% in USA (50)Supports Braswell J.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 528

Hard ELO1 521

Last 108–2

Age22

ELO1 512

Hard ELO1 515

Last 106–4

Age21

Jonah Braswell faces Eli Stephenson in the M15 Ithaca round of 32 on hard. Jonah Braswell brings the better recent hard form (8 of 10).

Key context

Last match: Jonah Braswell dropped just 3 games past M. Mikovic.
Fatigue load: Eli Stephenson carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Surface form: Jonah Braswell 8 of 10, Eli Stephenson 6 of 10 on hard recently — Jonah Braswell the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Braswell J.Stephenson E.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss8–26–4

Season win rate56% (9–7)58% (7–5)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15281512

Hard-court ELO15211515

Serve vs returnLast 8 matches each

1st-serve points won71%71%

Return points won43%38%

Aces / match2.43.6

ClutchLast 8 matches each

Break points saved70%53%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast12°C · Clear

Wind4 km/h

Humidity37%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jonah Braswell vs Eli Stephenson — M15 Ithaca Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/braswell-vs-stephenson-m15-ithaca-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).