Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Matej Sabanov

UMPIRY

M15 BolR32ClayWed 21 Oct · 10:30

Geoffrey Blancaneaux(1)ATP #446 · FRA70%

VSClear favourite · Blancaneaux G.

Matej SabanovCRO30%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Blancaneaux G.

70%30%

Clear edge for Blancaneaux G. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Blancaneaux G.4.9/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Sabanov M.4.2/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form2 of last 10 on clayInformative

Recent runLost last 4Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 669

Clay ELO1 632

Last 104–6

Age28

ELO1 602

Clay ELO1 602

Last 107–3

Age34

Geoffrey Blancaneaux faces Matej Sabanov in the M15 Bol round of 32 on clay. Matej Sabanov brings the better recent clay form (7 of 10).

Key context

Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Matej Sabanov rising, Geoffrey Blancaneaux cooling.
Last match: Matej Sabanov dropped just 3 games past Gabrielius Guzauskas.
Fatigue load: Matej Sabanov carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Blancaneaux G.Sabanov M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss4–67–3

Season win rate46% (21–25)75% (6–2)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16691602

Clay-court ELO16321602

Serve vs returnLast 39 vs 4 matches

1st-serve points won68%63%

Return points won38%42%

Aces / match3.51.8

ClutchLast 39 vs 4 matches

Break points saved63%41%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:30 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast20°C · Thunderstorm

Wind20 km/h

Humidity89%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Matej Sabanov — M15 Bol Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/blancaneaux-vs-sabanov-m15-bol-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).