Isaac Becroft vs Chase Ferguson | M25 Tamworth Round of 32

UMPIRY

M25 TamworthR32HardWed 21 Oct · 10:00

Isaac BecroftATP #613 · NZL57%

VSToss-up

Chase FergusonATP #582 · AUS43%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

57%43%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Becroft I.5.2/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Ferguson C.5.2/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form3 of last 7 on hardInformative

Recent runLost last 5Informative

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Becroft I.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 618

Hard ELO1 609

Last 106–4

Age25

EarningsCareer $45K2026 $11K

ELO1 607

Hard ELO1 598

Last 106–4

Age27

EarningsCareer $35K2026 $6K

Isaac Becroft faces Chase Ferguson in the M25 Tamworth round of 32 on hard. They have met once, Isaac Becroft leading 1–0. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Head-to-head: Isaac Becroft leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M15 Nakhon Si Thammarat 4 2024.
Surface form: Both 6 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Becroft I. leads 1–0

Becroft I.July 2024M15 Nakhon Si Thammarat 4Hard6-1 6-4

Evidence

Becroft I.Ferguson C.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–46–4

Season win rate67% (26–13)60% (21–14)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16181607

Hard-court ELO16091598

Serve vs returnLast 24 vs 27 matches

1st-serve points won72%67%

Return points won42%37%

Aces / match4.12.2

ClutchLast 24 vs 27 matches

Break points saved56%61%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast20°C · Partly cloudy

Wind2 km/h

Humidity65%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Isaac Becroft vs Chase Ferguson — M25 Tamworth Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/becroft-vs-ferguson-m25-tamworth-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).