A. Jeran vs Alessio Basile | M15 Bol Round of 32

UMPIRY

M15 BolR32ClayWed 21 Oct · 17:05

A. JeranSLO51%

VSToss-up

Alessio BasileBEL49%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

51%49%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Jeran A.6.1/10

Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Basile A.4.3/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 541

Clay ELO1 539

Last 103–7

Age22

ELO1 546

Clay ELO1 535

Last 106–4

Age22

A. Jeran faces Alessio Basile in the M15 Bol round of 32 on clay. Alessio Basile brings the better recent clay form (6 of 10).

Key context

Form trend: Alessio Basile's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while A. Jeran's has cooled.
Last match: Alessio Basile handed P. Homola a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–7 10–3 win.
Fatigue load: Alessio Basile carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Jeran A.Basile A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss3–76–4

Season win rate36% (5–9)47% (8–9)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15411546

Clay-court ELO15391535

Serve vs returnLast 11 vs 8 matches

1st-serve points won60%61%

Return points won39%40%

Aces / match1.62.0

ClutchLast 11 vs 8 matches

Break points saved54%51%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

17:05 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast20°C · Thunderstorm

Wind15 km/h

Humidity89%

Cite this

Umpiry, "A. Jeran vs Alessio Basile — M15 Bol Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/basile-vs-jeran-m15-bol-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).