Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Burgic Bucko E.
42%58%
Burgic Bucko E. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.
Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Bartashevich Y.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Burgic Bucko E.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 3Informative
CountryWon 53% in USA (59)Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 571
Hard ELO1 526
Last 105–5
Age21
ELO1 593
Hard ELO1 551
Last 105–5
Age34
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Bartashevich Y.Burgic Bucko E.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–55–5
Season win rate42% (13–18)50% (2–2) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15711593 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15261551 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 31 vs 4 matches
1st-serve points won62%64% (ahead)
Return points won42%51% (ahead)
Aces / match3.4 (ahead)0.3
ClutchLast 31 vs 4 matches
Break points saved49%52% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Conditions
12:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast23°C · Overcast
Wind5 km/h
Humidity42%
Cite this
Umpiry, "Yaroslava Bartashevich vs Ema Burgic Bucko — W35 Bakersfield Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/bartashevich-vs-bucko-w35-bakersfield-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).