Oliver Anderson vs Naoki Nakagawa — M25 Tamworth Round of 32
Oliver Anderson faces Naoki Nakagawa in the M25 Tamworth round of 32 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Oliver Anderson carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Both 7 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Serve flowAnderson O. broken twice · Nakagawa N. unbroken.
- Hold to love/15
- Hold to 30
- Hold to 40 / deuce
- Broken
- Result unknown
Anderson O.2/4Nakagawa N.4/4
Set 1
Match momentum
Last 30 pointsAnderson O.Nakagawa N.Swinging toNakagawa N.32
5Last 12 points7
10Last 3 games10
0/0Break points2/4
30 pointsNow
Break of serve
Key moments
Latest first- SETSet 1 · Game 8Nakagawa N. took the set
- HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 8Nakagawa N. held to love
- HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 6Nakagawa N. held to love
- HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 4Nakagawa N. held to love
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 3Nakagawa N. broke serve
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 1Nakagawa N. broke serve
Pre-match context
Nakagawa N. came in with the higher hard rating (1624 vs 1575).
Pre-match prediction
Set before the first ball · not updated in playPre-match win probability
18%82%
Umpiry Score
5.2/10/105.7
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probabilityCommon opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Season statistics
Form · Rating · Serve vs return · ClutchShowHide
Anderson O.Nakagawa N.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–37–3
Season win rate75% (3–1) (ahead)64% (14–8)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15891643 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15751624 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 3 vs 15 matches
1st-serve points won74%82% (ahead)
Return points won36%40% (ahead)
Aces / match6.39.1 (ahead)
ClutchLast 3 vs 15 matches
Break points saved69% (ahead)58%
Draw
Cite this
Umpiry, "Oliver Anderson vs Naoki Nakagawa — M25 Tamworth Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/anderson-vs-nakagawa-m25-tamworth-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).