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Justina Mikulskyte vs Hiromi Abe — W75 Saguenay Round of 16

W75 SaguenayR16HardWed 21 Oct · 11:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Abe H.
33%67%

Clear edge for Abe H. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Mikulskyte J.4.3/10
Heavy underdog
Abe H.4.7/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface+61 Hard Elo edgeSupports Abe H.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1395Supports Abe H.
Recent runLost last 2Supports Abe H.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Mikulskyte J.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 646
Hard ELO1 601
Last 104–6
Age30
EarningsCareer $508K2026 $115K
ELO1 700
Hard ELO1 657
Last 109–1
Age26
EarningsCareer $103K2026 $34K

Justina Mikulskyte faces Hiromi Abe in the W75 Saguenay round of 16 on hard. Justina Mikulskyte is the paper favourite — ranked #241, leading the head-to-head 1–0 — but Hiromi Abe arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 5 on hard to Justina Mikulskyte's 1 of 5.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Mikulskyte J. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Mikulskyte J.Abe H.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–69–1 (ahead)
Season win rate53% (31–27)72% (36–14) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16461700 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16011657 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 56 vs 43 matches
1st-serve points won59%62% (ahead)
Return points won46%49% (ahead)
Aces / match1.6 (ahead)0.8
ClutchLast 56 vs 43 matches
Break points saved52%58% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast4°C · Clear
Wind7 km/h
Humidity68%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Justina Mikulskyte vs Hiromi Abe — W75 Saguenay Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/abe-vs-mikulskyte-w75-saguenay-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).