Mika Petkovic vs Jelle Sels | M25 Redbridge Round of 32

UMPIRY

M25 RedbridgeR32HardTue 20 Oct · 10:00

Mika Petkovic(6)ATP #424 · GER44%

VSToss-up

Jelle SelsATP #567 · NED56%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

44%56%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Petkovic M.5.7/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Sels J.5.4/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form4 of last 10 on hardInformative

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on hardSupports Sels J.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 618

Hard ELO1 541

Last 107–3

Age19

EarningsCareer $53K2026 $29K

ELO1 651

Hard ELO1 618

Last 106–4

Age31

EarningsCareer $408K2026 $13K

Mika Petkovic faces Jelle Sels in the M25 Redbridge round of 32 on hard. They have met 2 times, Jelle Sels leading 2–0. Mika Petkovic brings the better recent hard form (5 of 5).

Key context

Head-to-head: Jelle Sels leads the head-to-head 2–0. Last met at M25 Glasgow 2 2025.
Surface form: Mika Petkovic 5 of 5, Jelle Sels 3 of 5 on hard recently — Mika Petkovic the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Both played two three-setters in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Sels J. leads 2–0

Sels J.October 2025M25 Glasgow 2Hard6-4 6-2
Sels J.February 2025M15 Monastir 8Hard2-6 6-2 6-3

Evidence

Petkovic M.Sels J.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–36–4

Season win rate59% (27–19)44% (16–20)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16181651

Hard-court ELO15411618

Serve vs returnLast 45 vs 36 matches

1st-serve points won67%66%

Return points won40%37%

Aces / match2.63.7

ClutchLast 45 vs 36 matches

Break points saved56%56%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast12°C · Drizzle

Wind15 km/h

Humidity91%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mika Petkovic vs Jelle Sels — M25 Redbridge Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-20/petkovic-vs-sels-m25-redbridge-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 20 October 2026).