Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Nedic A.
68%32%
Clear edge for Nedic A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.
Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Nedic A.6.9/10
Slight advantage
Piraino G.4.8/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+258 Clay Elo edgeSupports Nedic A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1515Supports Nedic A.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 752
Clay ELO1 719
Last 105–5
Age22
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $107K2026 $41K
ELO1 670
Clay ELO1 640
Last 103–7
Age22
Height188 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $135K2026 $28K
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Nedic A.Piraino G.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–5 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate60% (32–21) (ahead)44% (14–18)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1752 (ahead)1670
Clay-court ELO1719 (ahead)1640
Serve vs returnLast 51 vs 32 matches
1st-serve points won64% (ahead)63%
Return points won44% (ahead)41%
Aces / match1.72.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 51 vs 32 matches
Break points saved56% (ahead)55%
Draw
Odds
Conditions
10:00 local
SurfaceClay · slow
Forecast17°C · Clear
Wind3 km/h
Humidity72%
Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.
Freshness
Last 7 & 14 days
Nedic A.Piraino G.
4Days since last match6 — fresher
2Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
41Games · 7 days15 — fresher
3Matches · 14 days3
61Games · 14 days50 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.
Cite this
Umpiry, "Andrej Nedic vs Gabriele Piraino — Florence Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-20/nedic-vs-piraino-florence-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 20 October 2026).