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Mao Mushika vs S. Suh — W35 Bakersfield Qualifying Round of 16

W35 BakersfieldQ16QualifyingHardTue 20 Oct · 11:00
Mao MushikaJPN80%
VSStrong favourite · Mushika M.
S. SuhUSA20%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Mushika M.
80%20%

Clear edge for Mushika M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Mushika M.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Suh S.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
CountryWon 67% in USA (36)Supports Mushika M.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 569
Hard ELO1 561
Last 103–7
Age21
ELO1 500
Hard ELO1 497
Last 104–6
Age16

Mao Mushika faces S. Suh in the W35 Bakersfield qualifying round of 16 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Last match: Mao Mushika dropped just 4 games past Francesca Mattioli.
  • Surface form: Mao Mushika 3 of 10, S. Suh 4 of 10 on hard recently — S. Suh the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: S. Suh carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Mushika M.Suh S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–74–6 (ahead)
Season win rate43% (3–4)50% (2–2) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1569 (ahead)1500
Hard-court ELO1561 (ahead)1497

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast20°C · Clear
Wind5 km/h
Humidity48%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mao Mushika vs S. Suh — W35 Bakersfield Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-20/mushika-vs-suh-w35-bakersfield-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 20 October 2026).