UMPIRY
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Arjun Rathi vs Garrett Johns — M25 Mumbai Round of 32

M25 MumbaiR32HardTue 20 Oct · 10:30
Arjun RathiIND19%
VSStrong favourite · Johns G.
Garrett Johns(2)ATP #458 · USA81%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Johns G.
19%81%

Clear edge for Johns G. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Rathi A.4.5/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Johns G.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 520
Hard ELO1 518
Last 108–2
Age18
ELO1 663
Hard ELO1 616
Last 104–6
Age25

Arjun Rathi faces Garrett Johns in the M25 Mumbai round of 32 on hard. Arjun Rathi brings the better recent hard form (3 of 4).

Key context

  • Surface form: Arjun Rathi 3 of 4, Garrett Johns 1 of 4 on hard recently — Arjun Rathi the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Arjun Rathi carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Rathi A.Johns G.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate65% (11–6) (ahead)49% (24–25)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15201663 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15181616 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 14 vs 46 matches
1st-serve points won67% (ahead)65%
Return points won43% (ahead)40%
Aces / match2.63.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 14 vs 46 matches
Break points saved53%57% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast33°C · Clear
Wind5 km/h
Humidity59%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Arjun Rathi vs Garrett Johns — M25 Mumbai Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-20/johns-vs-rathi-m25-mumbai-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 20 October 2026).