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Carla Tomai vs Sofia Iakukhina — W35 Loule Qualifying Round of 16

W35 LouleQ16QualifyingHardTue 20 Oct · 11:30
Carla TomaiPOR29%
VSClear favourite · Iakukhina S.
Sofia IakukhinaRUS71%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Iakukhina S.
29%71%

Clear edge for Iakukhina S. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Tomai C.4.4/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Iakukhina S.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 409
Hard ELO1 404
Last 102–8
Age21
ELO1 506
Hard ELO1 506
Last 106–3
Age16

Carla Tomai faces Sofia Iakukhina in the W35 Loule qualifying round of 16 on hard. Sofia Iakukhina brings the better recent hard form (6 of 9).

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Tomai C.Iakukhina S.
FormLast 10 vs 9 matches · 2026
Win–loss2–86–3 (ahead)
Season win rate14% (1–6)67% (4–2) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO14091506 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14041506 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 6 vs 3 matches
1st-serve points won31%64% (ahead)
Return points won24%37% (ahead)
Aces / match0.01.7 (ahead)
ClutchLast 6 vs 3 matches
Break points saved26%58% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast17°C · Overcast
Wind17 km/h
Humidity65%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Carla Tomai vs Sofia Iakukhina — W35 Loule Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-20/iakukhina-vs-tomai-w35-loule-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 20 October 2026).