UMPIRY
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Matt Ponchet vs T. Herrmann — M25 Sarreguemines Round of 32

M25 SarregueminesR32CarpetTue 20 Oct · 11:30
Matt PonchetATP #776 · FRA
T. HerrmannFRA
Win probabilityWho is more likely to win
——

Prediction unavailable for this match. Everything else on this page still applies.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Ponchet M.5.2/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Herrmann T.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
What we know
Recent runLost last 4Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
Surface switchHard → CarpetBoth players
ELO1 530
Last 102–8
Age22
ELO1 504
Last 104–6
Age21

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Ponchet M.Herrmann T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss2–84–6 (ahead)
Season win rate25% (3–9)45% (5–6) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1530 (ahead)1504
Serve vs returnLast 9 vs 6 matches
1st-serve points won65%70% (ahead)
Return points won35%36% (ahead)
Aces / match2.65.2 (ahead)
ClutchLast 9 vs 6 matches
Break points saved57% (ahead)50%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceCarpet
Forecast9°C · Rain
Wind11 km/h
Humidity84%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Matt Ponchet vs T. Herrmann — M25 Sarreguemines Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-20/herrmann-vs-ponchet-m25-sarreguemines-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 20 October 2026).