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Pietro Fellin vs Oliver Tarvet — M25 Redbridge Round of 32

M25 RedbridgeR32HardTue 20 Oct · 11:20
Pietro FellinATP #618 · ITA18%
VSStrong favourite · Tarvet O.
Oliver Tarvet(2)ATP #289 · GBR82%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Tarvet O.
18%82%

Clear edge for Tarvet O. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Fellin P.4.7/10
Heavy underdog
Tarvet O.7.2/10
Strong advantage
Why
Surface+156 Hard Elo edgeSupports Tarvet O.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1490Supports Tarvet O.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 663
Hard ELO1 608
Last 106–4
Age25
EarningsCareer $48K2026 $17K
ELO1 800
Hard ELO1 682
Last 108–2
Age22
EarningsCareer $294K2026 $128K

Pietro Fellin faces Oliver Tarvet in the M25 Redbridge round of 32 on hard. Oliver Tarvet holds the paper edge — ranked #289, a roughly 160-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Pietro Fellin carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Pietro Fellin 6 of 10, Oliver Tarvet 8 of 10 on hard recently — Oliver Tarvet the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Fellin P.Tarvet O.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–48–2 (ahead)
Season win rate57% (23–17)78% (25–7) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16631800 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16081682 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 37 vs 24 matches
1st-serve points won66%76% (ahead)
Return points won40% (ahead)39%
Aces / match2.36.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 37 vs 24 matches
Break points saved59%68% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:20 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast13°C · Drizzle
Wind13 km/h
Humidity91%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Pietro Fellin vs Oliver Tarvet — M25 Redbridge Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-20/fellin-vs-tarvet-m25-redbridge-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 20 October 2026).