Kyle Mckay vs Ivan Dorokhov | M25 Redbridge Round of 32

UMPIRY

M25 RedbridgeR32HardTue 20 Oct · 10:00

Kyle MckayGBR31%

VSClear favourite · Dorokhov I.

Ivan DorokhovRUS69%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Dorokhov I.

31%69%

Clear edge for Dorokhov I. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Mckay K.4.9/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Dorokhov I.4.9/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

What we know

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 498

Hard ELO1 496

Last 104–6

Age20

ELO1 509

Hard ELO1 509

Last 106–4

Age18

Kyle Mckay faces Ivan Dorokhov in the M25 Redbridge round of 32 on hard. Ivan Dorokhov brings the better recent hard form (6 of 10).

Key context

Last match: Ivan Dorokhov edged Sizya Ernest Kivanda in two tight sets (7–6 6–4).
Surface form: Kyle Mckay 4 of 10, Ivan Dorokhov 6 of 10 on hard recently — Ivan Dorokhov the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Ivan Dorokhov carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Mckay K.Dorokhov I.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss4–66–4

Season win rate100% (2–0)64% (9–5)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO14981509

Hard-court ELO14961509

Serve vs returnLast 2 vs 7 matches

1st-serve points won77%68%

Return points won45%41%

Aces / match4.03.9

ClutchLast 2 vs 7 matches

Break points saved33%70%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast13°C · Drizzle

Wind13 km/h

Humidity90%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Kyle Mckay vs Ivan Dorokhov — M25 Redbridge Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-20/dorokhov-vs-mckay-m25-redbridge-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 20 October 2026).