UMPIRY
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Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon vs Jenna Defalco — W35 Bakersfield Round of 32

W35 BakersfieldR32HardTue 20 Oct · 13:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Lutkemeyer Obregon A.
62%38%

Lutkemeyer Obregon A. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Lutkemeyer Obregon A.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Defalco J.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
CountryWon 62% in USA (77)Supports Lutkemeyer Obregon A.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 603
Hard ELO1 593
Last 105–5
Age22
ELO1 573
Hard ELO1 556
Last 104–6
Age23

Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon faces Jenna Defalco in the W35 Bakersfield round of 32 on hard. Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon holds the paper edge — ranked #675.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Lutkemeyer Obregon A.Defalco J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–5 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate61% (17–11) (ahead)38% (11–18)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1603 (ahead)1573
Hard-court ELO1593 (ahead)1556
Serve vs returnLast 18 vs 23 matches
1st-serve points won61% (ahead)57%
Return points won46% (ahead)45%
Aces / match1.4 (ahead)1.1
ClutchLast 18 vs 23 matches
Break points saved54% (ahead)48%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast25°C · Clear
Wind4 km/h
Humidity33%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon vs Jenna Defalco — W35 Bakersfield Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-20/defalco-vs-obregon-w35-bakersfield-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 20 October 2026).