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Adhithya Ganesan vs Hitesh Chauhan — M25 Mumbai Round of 32

M25 MumbaiR32HardTue 20 Oct · 10:30
Adhithya GanesanATP #886 · USA72%
VSClear favourite · Ganesan A.
Hitesh ChauhanIND28%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Ganesan A.
72%28%

Clear edge for Ganesan A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Ganesan A.5.2/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Chauhan H.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 552
Hard ELO1 530
Last 104–6
Age20
ELO1 491
Hard ELO1 490
Last 103–7
Age18

Adhithya Ganesan faces Hitesh Chauhan in the M25 Mumbai round of 32 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Surface form: Adhithya Ganesan 4 of 10, Hitesh Chauhan 3 of 10 on hard recently — Adhithya Ganesan the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Adhithya Ganesan carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Ganesan A.Chauhan H.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–6 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate36% (5–9) (ahead)33% (3–6)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1552 (ahead)1491
Hard-court ELO1530 (ahead)1490
Serve vs returnLast 14 vs 9 matches
1st-serve points won65% (ahead)59%
Return points won36%42% (ahead)
Aces / match4.1 (ahead)1.8
ClutchLast 14 vs 9 matches
Break points saved61% (ahead)44%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast33°C · Clear
Wind5 km/h
Humidity59%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Adhithya Ganesan vs Hitesh Chauhan — M25 Mumbai Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-20/chauhan-vs-ganesan-m25-mumbai-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 20 October 2026).