UMPIRY
EN

Sandro Kopp vs Gianluca Cadenasso — Florence Round of 32

FlorenceR32ClayTue 20 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Cadenasso G.
41%59%

Cadenasso G. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Kopp S.5.1/10
Clear underdog
Cadenasso G.7.2/10
Strong advantage
Why
Surface+80 Clay Elo edgeSupports Cadenasso G.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1545Supports Cadenasso G.
Recent run5-match win streakSupports Cadenasso G.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Kopp S.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 710
Clay ELO1 671
Last 103–7
Age26
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $209K2026 $44K
ELO1 726
Clay ELO1 685
Last 108–2
Age22
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $237K2026 $139K

Sandro Kopp faces Gianluca Cadenasso in the Florence round of 32 on clay. Gianluca Cadenasso holds the paper edge — ranked #220, a roughly 80-point clay Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Kopp S.Cadenasso G.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–78–2 (ahead)
Season win rate53% (27–24)56% (20–16) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17101726 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO16711685 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 46 vs 35 matches
1st-serve points won68% (ahead)67%
Return points won38%43% (ahead)
Aces / match2.8 (ahead)2.5
ClutchLast 46 vs 35 matches
Break points saved60% (ahead)51%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay · slow
Forecast17°C · Clear
Wind3 km/h
Humidity72%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Kopp S.Cadenasso G.
6 — fresherDays since last match1
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days4
28 — fresherGames · 7 days106
2 — fresherMatches · 14 days6
50 — fresherGames · 14 days159
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Sandro Kopp vs Gianluca Cadenasso — Florence Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-20/cadenasso-vs-kopp-florence-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 20 October 2026).