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Marko Topo vs Patrick Brady — M25 Redbridge Round of 32

M25 RedbridgeR32HardTue 20 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Topo M.
77%23%

Clear edge for Topo M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Topo M.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Brady P.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on hardSupports Topo M.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 721
Hard ELO1 596
Last 107–3
Age23
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $258K2026 $47K
ELO1 599
Hard ELO1 570
Last 105–5
Age21
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $39K2026 $9K

Marko Topo faces Patrick Brady in the M25 Redbridge round of 32 on hard. Marko Topo holds the paper edge — ranked #337.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Topo M.Brady P.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate46% (19–22)55% (16–13) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1721 (ahead)1599
Hard-court ELO1596 (ahead)1570
Serve vs returnLast 39 vs 24 matches
1st-serve points won68%69% (ahead)
Return points won37%37%
Aces / match4.1 (ahead)2.8
ClutchLast 39 vs 24 matches
Break points saved57% (ahead)52%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast13°C · Drizzle
Wind13 km/h
Humidity90%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Topo M.Brady P.
14 — fresherDays since last match7
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days1
0 — fresherGames · 7 days22
1 — fresherMatches · 14 days2
16 — fresherGames · 14 days37
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Marko Topo vs Patrick Brady — M25 Redbridge Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-20/brady-vs-topo-m25-redbridge-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 20 October 2026).