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Anna Blinkova vs Andre Lukosiute — W100 Wrexham Round of 32

W100 WrexhamR32HardTue 20 Oct · 11:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Blinkova A.
91%9%

Clear edge for Blinkova A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 11 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Blinkova A.6.5/10
Marginal edgeBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Lukosiute A.4.4/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form7 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent run4-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Lukosiute A.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 828
Hard ELO1 721
Last 107–3
Age28
EarningsCareer $5.5M2026 $778K
ELO1 640
Hard ELO1 631
Last 106–4
Age25
EarningsCareer $45K2026 $10K

Anna Blinkova faces Andre Lukosiute in the W100 Wrexham round of 32 on hard. Anna Blinkova is the paper favourite — ranked #72 — but Andre Lukosiute rides a 4-match win streak. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Blinkova A.Lukosiute A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate51% (32–31)68% (30–14) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1828 (ahead)1640
Hard-court ELO1721 (ahead)1631
Serve vs returnLast 63 vs 43 matches
1st-serve points won60%65% (ahead)
Return points won46%50% (ahead)
Aces / match1.52.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 63 vs 43 matches
Break points saved55%57% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast10°C · Rain
Wind5 km/h
Humidity96%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Anna Blinkova vs Andre Lukosiute — W100 Wrexham Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-20/blinkova-vs-lukosiute-w100-wrexham-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 20 October 2026).