Dmitry Popko vs Pierluigi Basile | Florence Qualifying Round of 16

UMPIRY

FlorenceQ16QualifyingClayTue 20 Oct · 10:00

Dmitry PopkoATP #495 · KAZ63%

VSSlight edge · Popko D.

Pierluigi BasileATP #521 · ITA37%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Popko D.

63%37%

Popko D. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Popko D.5.9/10

Even match

Basile P.5.9/10

Even match

Why

Surface+37 Clay Elo edgeSupports Popko D.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1385Supports Popko D.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysBoth players

ELO1 706

Clay ELO1 680

Last 1010–0

Age29

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $973K2026 $34K

ELO1 601

Clay ELO1 574

Last 105–5

Age19

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $65K2026 $27K

Dmitry Popko faces Pierluigi Basile in the Florence qualifying round of 16 on clay. Dmitry Popko holds the paper edge — ranked #495, a roughly 40-point clay Elo advantage.

Key context

Form trend: Dmitry Popko's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Pierluigi Basile's has cooled.
Last match: Pierluigi Basile dropped just 5 games past Federico Iannaccone.
Surface form: Dmitry Popko 10 of 10, Pierluigi Basile 5 of 10 on clay recently — Dmitry Popko the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Popko D.Basile P.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss10–05–5

Season win rate75% (27–9)59% (22–15)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17061601

Clay-court ELO16801574

Serve vs returnLast 35 vs 36 matches

1st-serve points won68%71%

Return points won45%40%

Aces / match2.74.3

ClutchLast 35 vs 36 matches

Break points saved64%63%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceClay · slow

Forecast17°C · Clear

Wind3 km/h

Humidity72%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Dmitry Popko vs Pierluigi Basile — Florence Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-20/basile-vs-popko-florence-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 20 October 2026).