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Moyuka Uchijima vs Ena Shibahara — Japan Open - Osaka Round of 32

Japan Open - OsakaR32HardMon 19 Oct · 11:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
45%55%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Uchijima M.5.4/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Shibahara E.5.2/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on hardSupports Shibahara E.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Recent runLost last 4Both players
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 729
Hard ELO1 658
Last 103–7
Age25
ELO1 737
Hard ELO1 666
Last 108–2
Age28

Moyuka Uchijima faces Ena Shibahara in the Japan Open - Osaka round of 32 on hard. Ena Shibahara brings the better recent hard form (7 of 8).

Key context

  • Form trend: Ena Shibahara's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Moyuka Uchijima's has cooled.
  • Surface form: Moyuka Uchijima 3 of 8, Ena Shibahara 7 of 8 on hard recently — Ena Shibahara the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Uchijima M.Shibahara E.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–78–2 (ahead)
Season win rate50% (24–24)73% (8–3) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17291737 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16581666 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 47 vs 11 matches
1st-serve points won64%73% (ahead)
Return points won46% (ahead)44%
Aces / match2.25.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 47 vs 11 matches
Break points saved50%62% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast24°C · Mainly clear
Wind2 km/h
Humidity68%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Moyuka Uchijima vs Ena Shibahara — Japan Open - Osaka Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/shibahara-vs-uchijima-japan-open-osaka-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).