UMPIRY
EN

Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin Tiffon — Lisbon Round of 32

LisbonR32ClayMon 19 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Pellegrino A.
58%42%

Pellegrino A. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Pellegrino A.6.1/10
Even match
Martin Tiffon P.5.2/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+147 Clay Elo edgeSupports Pellegrino A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1674Supports Pellegrino A.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on claySupports Pellegrino A.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Martin Tiffon P.
ELO1 804
Clay ELO1 763
Last 103–7
Age29
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.3M2026 $385K
ELO1 723
Clay ELO1 680
Last 104–6
Age27
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $405K2026 $113K

Andrea Pellegrino faces Pol Martin Tiffon in the Lisbon round of 32 on clay. Andrea Pellegrino is the paper favourite — ranked #145, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 150-point clay Elo advantage — but Pol Martin Tiffon arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 7 on clay to Andrea Pellegrino's 2 of 7.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Pellegrino A. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Pellegrino A.Martin Tiffon P.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–74–6 (ahead)
Season win rate56% (30–24)58% (34–25) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1804 (ahead)1723
Clay-court ELO1763 (ahead)1680
Serve vs returnLast 47 vs 58 matches
1st-serve points won68%70% (ahead)
Return points won38%40% (ahead)
Aces / match3.6 (ahead)3.2
ClutchLast 47 vs 58 matches
Break points saved61%62% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast17°C · Clear
Wind14 km/h
Humidity47%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Pellegrino A.Martin Tiffon P.
5 — fresherDays since last match4
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days2
25 — fresherGames · 7 days35
2 — fresherMatches · 14 days3
50 — fresherGames · 14 days54
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin Tiffon — Lisbon Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/pellegrino-vs-tiffon-lisbon-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).