UMPIRY
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Filip Misolic vs Daniel Siniakov — Florence Qualifying Round of 16

FlorenceQ16QualifyingClayMon 19 Oct · 10:00CENTRE COURT · Next on
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Misolic F.
68%32%

Clear edge for Misolic F. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Misolic F.4.6/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Siniakov D.5.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on clayAgainst the prediction · Siniakov D.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Misolic F.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 804
Clay ELO1 810
Last 103–7
Age25
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.2M2026 $111K
ELO1 636
Clay ELO1 593
Last 106–4
Age23
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $72K2026 $18K

Filip Misolic faces Daniel Siniakov in the Florence qualifying round of 16 on clay. Filip Misolic is the paper favourite — ranked #471 — but Daniel Siniakov arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 8 on clay to Filip Misolic's 3 of 8.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Misolic F.Siniakov D.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–76–4 (ahead)
Season win rate27% (4–11)53% (19–17) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1804 (ahead)1636
Clay-court ELO1810 (ahead)1593
Serve vs returnLast 14 vs 31 matches
1st-serve points won66%68% (ahead)
Return points won40%42% (ahead)
Aces / match2.43.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 14 vs 31 matches
Break points saved58%58%

When it starts

CENTRE COURT · Next on · Starts at 10:00

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTRE COURT · 10:00 local
SurfaceClay · slow
Forecast17°C · Clear
Wind3 km/h
Humidity83%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Misolic F.Siniakov D.
13 — fresherDays since last match5
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days3
0 — fresherGames · 7 days68
1 — fresherMatches · 14 days5
15 — fresherGames · 14 days126
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Filip Misolic vs Daniel Siniakov — Florence Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/misolic-vs-siniakov-florence-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).