Nadia Lagaev vs Carolina Kuhl | Preview, H2H & Win Probability

UMPIRY

W75 SaguenayQ16QualifyingHardMon 19 Oct · 13:15

Nadia LagaevCAN19%

VSStrong favourite · Kuhl C.

Carolina KuhlWTA #604 · GER81%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Kuhl C.

19%81%

Clear edge for Kuhl C. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Lagaev N.4.9/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Kuhl C.4.5/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

What we know

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 504

Hard ELO1 485

Last 105–5

Age18

EarningsCareer $12K2026 $2K

ELO1 585

Hard ELO1 535

Last 106–4

Age21

EarningsCareer $70K2026 $8K

Nadia Lagaev faces Carolina Kuhl in the W75 Saguenay qualifying round of 16 on hard. Carolina Kuhl brings the better recent hard form (5 of 8).

Key context

Last match: Carolina Kuhl lost just 0 games in a 6–0 6–0 demolition of Nalah Kaler.
Last match: Nadia Lagaev dropped the opening set before beating Jule Niemeier 4–6 6–4 7–6.
Surface form: Nadia Lagaev 4 of 8, Carolina Kuhl 5 of 8 on hard recently — Carolina Kuhl the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Lagaev N.Kuhl C.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–56–4

Season win rate42% (5–7)54% (15–13)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15041585

Hard-court ELO14851535

Serve vs returnLast 9 vs 27 matches

1st-serve points won53%57%

Return points won46%48%

Aces / match0.31.8

ClutchLast 9 vs 27 matches

Break points saved49%51%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:15 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast14°C · Clear

Wind19 km/h

Humidity64%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Nadia Lagaev vs Carolina Kuhl — W75 Saguenay Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/kuhl-vs-lagaev-w75-saguenay-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).