UMPIRY
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Yanaki Milev vs Maximus Jones — Florence Qualifying Round of 16

FlorenceQ16QualifyingClayMon 19 Oct · 11:30
Yanaki MilevATP #619 · BUL68%
VSClear favourite · Milev Y.
Maximus JonesATP #496 · THA32%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Milev Y.
68%32%

Clear edge for Milev Y. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Milev Y.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Jones M.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form7 of last 10 on claySupports Milev Y.
Recent runLost last 2Supports Milev Y.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysBoth players
ELO1 651
Clay ELO1 628
Last 107–3
Age22
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $88K2026 $10K
ELO1 604
Clay ELO1 510
Last 105–5
Age22
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $111K2026 $25K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Milev Y.Jones M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate64% (21–12) (ahead)46% (17–20)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1651 (ahead)1604
Clay-court ELO1628 (ahead)1510
Serve vs returnLast 29 vs 32 matches
1st-serve points won65%71% (ahead)
Return points won42% (ahead)37%
Aces / match1.95.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 29 vs 32 matches
Break points saved64% (ahead)61%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceClay · slow
Forecast20°C · Clear
Wind2 km/h
Humidity67%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Milev Y.Jones M.
6Days since last match7 — fresher
2Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
59Games · 7 days26 — fresher
8Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
189Games · 14 days26 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Yanaki Milev vs Maximus Jones — Florence Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/jones-vs-milev-florence-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).