UMPIRY
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Nick Hardt vs Francisco Comesana — Cali Round of 32

CaliR32ClayMon 19 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Comesana F.
25%75%

Clear edge for Comesana F. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Hardt N.4.6/10
Heavy underdog
Comesana F.7.0/10
Strong advantage
Why
Surface+196 Clay Elo edgeSupports Comesana F.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1695Supports Comesana F.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headLeads 3–1 on claySupports Comesana F.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Hardt N.
ELO1 690
Clay ELO1 667
Last 103–7
Age26
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $432K2026 $38K
ELO1 851
Clay ELO1 774
Last 105–5
Age26
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.5M2026 $626K

Nick Hardt faces Francisco Comesana in the Cali round of 32 on clay. Francisco Comesana holds the paper edge — ranked #125, leading the head-to-head 3–1, a roughly 200-point clay Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

4 meetings · Comesana F. leads 3–1
13

Evidence

Hardt N.Comesana F.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–75–5 (ahead)
Season win rate55% (16–13) (ahead)44% (20–25)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16901851 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO16671774 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 26 vs 43 matches
1st-serve points won63%71% (ahead)
Return points won42% (ahead)37%
Aces / match0.96.6 (ahead)
ClutchLast 26 vs 43 matches
Break points saved60% (ahead)58%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast24°C · Drizzle
Wind3 km/h
Humidity73%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Hardt N.Comesana F.
6 — fresherDays since last match1
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days4
27 — fresherGames · 7 days107
3 — fresherMatches · 14 days5
78 — fresherGames · 14 days140
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Nick Hardt vs Francisco Comesana — Cali Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/comesana-vs-hardt-cali-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).