UMPIRY
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Marco Cecchinato vs Vilius Gaubas — Lisbon Round of 32

LisbonR32ClayMon 19 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Gaubas V.
39%61%

Gaubas V. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Cecchinato M.5.5/10
Slight disadvantage
Gaubas V.6.2/10
Even match
Why
Surface+12 Clay Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Cecchinato M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1581Supports Gaubas V.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on claySupports Gaubas V.
Long matches3 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Cecchinato M.
ELO1 765
Clay ELO1 723
Last 104–6
Age34
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $5.3M2026 $204K
ELO1 825
Clay ELO1 708
Last 106–4
Age21
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $897K2026 $413K

Marco Cecchinato faces Vilius Gaubas in the Lisbon round of 32 on clay. Vilius Gaubas holds the paper edge — ranked #141, leading the head-to-head 3–0.

Key context

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Cecchinato M. and Gaubas V. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Cecchinato M. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Gaubas V. 1–0 (100%).

0–10%Cecchinato M. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–0100%Gaubas V. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
0–1Sets2–0
2–6Games13–9

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Gaubas V. leads 3–0
03

Hard: Gaubas V. leads 1–0 · Clay: Gaubas V. leads 2–0

Evidence

Cecchinato M.Gaubas V.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–66–4 (ahead)
Season win rate58% (38–28) (ahead)55% (34–28)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17651825 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO1723 (ahead)1708
Serve vs returnLast 64 vs 53 matches
1st-serve points won69% (ahead)66%
Return points won39% (ahead)38%
Aces / match2.83.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 64 vs 53 matches
Break points saved62%63% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast17°C · Clear
Wind14 km/h
Humidity47%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Cecchinato M.Gaubas V.
5 — fresherDays since last match3
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days2
20 — fresherGames · 7 days48
2 — fresherMatches · 14 days6
39 — fresherGames · 14 days146
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Marco Cecchinato vs Vilius Gaubas — Lisbon Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/cecchinato-vs-gaubas-lisbon-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).