Thiago Monteiro vs Alejandro Moro Canas — Lisbon Round of 32
Why
Surface+70 Clay Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Monteiro T.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1568Against the prediction · Monteiro T.
Recent runLost last 4Informative
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on clayAgainst the prediction · Monteiro T.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 774
Clay ELO1 729
Last 105–5
Age32
Height183 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $4.5M2026 $67K
ELO1 762
Clay ELO1 672
Last 107–3
Age25
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $707K2026 $156K
Thiago Monteiro faces Alejandro Moro Canas in the Lisbon round of 32 on clay. Thiago Monteiro is the paper favourite — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 70-point clay Elo advantage — but Alejandro Moro Canas arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on clay to Thiago Monteiro's 5 of 10.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Thiago Monteiro 62 games in 14 days, Alejandro Moro Canas 122.
- Head-to-head: Thiago Monteiro leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Salzburg CH 2024.
- Surface form: Thiago Monteiro 5 of 10, Alejandro Moro Canas 7 of 10 on clay recently — Alejandro Moro Canas the sharper of late.
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Evidence
Monteiro T.Moro Canas A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–57–3 (ahead)
Season win rate60% (32–21) (ahead)57% (40–30)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1774 (ahead)1762
Clay-court ELO1729 (ahead)1672
Serve vs returnLast 50 vs 67 matches
1st-serve points won71% (ahead)67%
Return points won37%40% (ahead)
Aces / match4.2 (ahead)3.4
ClutchLast 50 vs 67 matches
Break points saved63%63%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Thiago Monteiro vs Alejandro Moro Canas — Lisbon Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/canas-vs-monteiro-lisbon-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).