UMPIRY
EN

Hernan Casanova vs Gonzalo Bueno — Cali Round of 32

CaliR32ClayMon 19 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Bueno G.
42%58%

Bueno G. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Casanova H.5.3/10
Clear underdog
Bueno G.6.4/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+88 Clay Elo edgeSupports Bueno G.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1491Supports Bueno G.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on claySupports Bueno G.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 699
Clay ELO1 676
Last 103–7
Age32
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $361K2026 $26K
ELO1 725
Clay ELO1 695
Last 104–6
Age22
Height173 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $408K2026 $192K

Hernan Casanova faces Gonzalo Bueno in the Cali round of 32 on clay. Gonzalo Bueno holds the paper edge — ranked #183, leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Bueno G. leads 2–0
02

Evidence

Casanova H.Bueno G.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–74–6 (ahead)
Season win rate55% (21–17) (ahead)53% (32–28)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16991725 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO16761695 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 37 vs 57 matches
1st-serve points won60%63% (ahead)
Return points won44% (ahead)43%
Aces / match0.61.1 (ahead)
ClutchLast 37 vs 57 matches
Break points saved54%58% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast24°C · Drizzle
Wind3 km/h
Humidity73%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Casanova H.Bueno G.
5Days since last match5
2Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
37Games · 7 days16 — fresher
4Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
90Games · 14 days16 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Hernan Casanova vs Gonzalo Bueno — Cali Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/bueno-vs-casanova-cali-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).