UMPIRY
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Raquel Caballero Chica vs Madison Brengle — W50 Austin Round of 32

W50 AustinR32HardMon 19 Oct · 13:00
Raquel Caballero ChicaESP11%
VSStrong favourite · Brengle M.
Madison Brengle(5)WTA #192 · USA89%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Brengle M.
11%89%

Clear edge for Brengle M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 9 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Caballero Chica R.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Brengle M.5.4/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 10 on hardInformative
CountryWon 71% in USA (191)Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 492
Hard ELO1 499
Last 106–4
Age21
EarningsCareer $3K2026 $1K
ELO1 718
Hard ELO1 636
Last 107–3
Age36
EarningsCareer $5.0M2026 $104K

Raquel Caballero Chica faces Madison Brengle in the W50 Austin round of 32 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Madison Brengle carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 3 of 5 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Caballero Chica R.Brengle M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate62% (8–5) (ahead)58% (38–27)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO14921718 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14991636 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 11 vs 57 matches
1st-serve points won59% (ahead)54%
Return points won51%51%
Aces / match0.3 (ahead)0.0
ClutchLast 11 vs 57 matches
Break points saved60% (ahead)49%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast23°C · Clear
Wind8 km/h
Humidity38%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Raquel Caballero Chica vs Madison Brengle — W50 Austin Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/brengle-vs-chica-w50-austin-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).