UMPIRY
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Raul Brancaccio vs Calvin Hemery — Lisbon Round of 32

LisbonR32ClayMon 19 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Hemery C.
34%66%

Hemery C. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Brancaccio R.5.8/10
Slight disadvantage
Hemery C.5.6/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+16 Clay Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Brancaccio R.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1492Against the prediction · Brancaccio R.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headFirst meeting on clayBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 660
Clay ELO1 620
Last 104–6
Age29
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $631K2026 $107K
ELO1 722
Clay ELO1 689
Last 108–2
Age31
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $950K2026 $69K

Raul Brancaccio faces Calvin Hemery in the Lisbon round of 32 on clay. Raul Brancaccio is the paper favourite — ranked #231, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 20-point clay Elo advantage — but Calvin Hemery arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 9 on clay to Raul Brancaccio's 4 of 9.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Brancaccio R. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Brancaccio R.Hemery C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–68–2 (ahead)
Season win rate47% (27–30)61% (36–23) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16601722 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO16201689 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 55 vs 56 matches
1st-serve points won66%73% (ahead)
Return points won39% (ahead)38%
Aces / match2.55.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 55 vs 56 matches
Break points saved58%62% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast17°C · Clear
Wind14 km/h
Humidity47%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Raul Brancaccio vs Calvin Hemery — Lisbon Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/brancaccio-vs-hemery-lisbon-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).