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Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondioli — Florence Round of 32

FlorenceR32ClayMon 19 Oct · ~13:00COURT 1 · After 1 match
Zdenek Kolar(1)ATP #196 · CZE48%
VSToss-up
Federico BondioliATP #333 · ITA52%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
48%52%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Kolar Z.6.6/10
Marginal edge
Bondioli F.5.7/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+107 Clay Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Kolar Z.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1506Against the prediction · Kolar Z.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 706
Clay ELO1 681
Last 106–4
Age30
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.3M2026 $163K
ELO1 662
Clay ELO1 620
Last 106–4
Age21
Height185 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $183K2026 $58K

Zdenek Kolar faces Federico Bondioli in the Florence round of 32 on clay. Zdenek Kolar holds the paper edge — ranked #196, a roughly 110-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Freshness: Workload contrast: Zdenek Kolar 104 games in 14 days, Federico Bondioli 32.
  • Surface form: Both 6 of 10 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Kolar Z.Bondioli F.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate47% (27–31)52% (17–16) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1706 (ahead)1662
Clay-court ELO1681 (ahead)1620
Serve vs returnLast 56 vs 33 matches
1st-serve points won66%66%
Return points won40% (ahead)39%
Aces / match2.23.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 56 vs 33 matches
Break points saved54%56% (ahead)

When it starts

COURT 1 · After 1 match · Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

COURT 1 · ~13:00 local
SurfaceClay · slow
Forecast23°C · Clear
Wind1 km/h
Humidity54%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Kolar Z.Bondioli F.
2Days since last match5 — fresher
3Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
70Games · 7 days32 — fresher
5Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
104Games · 14 days32 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondioli — Florence Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/bondioli-vs-kolar-florence-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).