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Irina Balus vs Michika Ozeki — W75 Saguenay Qualifying Round of 16

W75 SaguenayQ16QualifyingHardMon 19 Oct · 09:15
Irina BalusWTA #478 · SVK79%
VSClear favourite · Balus I.
Michika OzekiWTA #569 · JPN21%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Balus I.
79%21%

Clear edge for Balus I. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Balus I.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Ozeki M.4.5/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 644
Hard ELO1 556
Last 108–2
Age21
EarningsCareer $28K2026 $8K
ELO1 509
Hard ELO1 498
Last 103–7
Age34
EarningsCareer $124K2026 $12K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Balus I.Ozeki M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate74% (20–7) (ahead)43% (15–20)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1644 (ahead)1509
Hard-court ELO1556 (ahead)1498
Serve vs returnLast 21 vs 29 matches
1st-serve points won60% (ahead)58%
Return points won53% (ahead)46%
Aces / match0.30.7 (ahead)
ClutchLast 21 vs 29 matches
Break points saved50%54% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

09:15 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast5°C · Clear
Wind6 km/h
Humidity76%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Irina Balus vs Michika Ozeki — W75 Saguenay Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/balus-vs-ozeki-w75-saguenay-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).