UMPIRY
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Max Alcala Gurri vs Andres Andrade — Lisbon Round of 32

LisbonR32ClayMon 19 Oct · 10:00
Max Alcala Gurri(5)ATP #138 · ESP68%
VSClear favourite · Alcala Gurri M.
Andres AndradeATP #203 · ECU32%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Alcala Gurri M.
68%32%

Clear edge for Alcala Gurri M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Alcala Gurri M.6.7/10
Slight advantage
Andrade A.5.7/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+77 Clay Elo edgeSupports Alcala Gurri M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1580Supports Alcala Gurri M.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Surface switchHard → ClaySupports Alcala Gurri M.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
ELO1 755
Clay ELO1 732
Last 107–3
Age24
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
ELO1 718
Clay ELO1 611
Last 106–4
Age27
Height180 cm
PlaysRight

Max Alcala Gurri faces Andres Andrade in the Lisbon round of 32 on clay. Max Alcala Gurri holds the paper edge — ranked #138, a roughly 80-point clay Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Alcala Gurri M.Andrade A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate70% (32–14) (ahead)60% (37–25)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1755 (ahead)1718
Clay-court ELO1732 (ahead)1611
Serve vs returnLast 45 vs 57 matches
1st-serve points won64%68% (ahead)
Return points won47% (ahead)42%
Aces / match0.82.7 (ahead)
ClutchLast 45 vs 57 matches
Break points saved53%57% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast17°C · Clear
Wind14 km/h
Humidity47%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Alcala Gurri M.Andrade A.
5Days since last match15 — fresher
1Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
19Games · 7 days0 — fresher
4Matches · 14 days0 — fresher
76Games · 14 days0 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Max Alcala Gurri vs Andres Andrade — Lisbon Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/andrade-vs-gurri-lisbon-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).