UMPIRY
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Franco Agamenone vs Max Houkes — Florence Round of 32

FlorenceR32ClayMon 19 Oct · ~13:00COURT 2 · After 1 match
Franco AgamenoneATP #378 · ITA15%
VSStrong favourite · Houkes M.
Max Houkes(5)ATP #226 · NED85%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Houkes M.
15%85%

Clear edge for Houkes M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 7 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Agamenone F.5.2/10
Clear underdog
Houkes M.5.4/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+10 Clay Elo edgeSupports Houkes M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1460Supports Houkes M.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 675
Clay ELO1 644
Last 102–8
Age33
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $695K2026 $50K
ELO1 752
Clay ELO1 726
Last 109–1
Age26
Height188 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $293K2026 $108K

Franco Agamenone faces Max Houkes in the Florence round of 32 on clay. Max Houkes holds the paper edge — ranked #226.

Key context

  • Form trend: Max Houkes's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Franco Agamenone's has cooled.
  • Surface form: Franco Agamenone 2 of 10, Max Houkes 9 of 10 on clay recently — Max Houkes the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Max Houkes carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Agamenone F.Houkes M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss2–89–1 (ahead)
Season win rate47% (24–27)64% (35–20) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16751752 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO16441726 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 50 vs 55 matches
1st-serve points won64%70% (ahead)
Return points won42% (ahead)41%
Aces / match1.73.7 (ahead)
ClutchLast 50 vs 55 matches
Break points saved60%61% (ahead)

When it starts

COURT 2 · After 1 match · Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

COURT 2 · ~13:00 local
SurfaceClay · slow
Forecast23°C · Clear
Wind1 km/h
Humidity54%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Franco Agamenone vs Max Houkes — Florence Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/agamenone-vs-houkes-florence-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).