Nao Nishino vs Annika Penickova | W35 Redding Semi-final

UMPIRY

W35 ReddingSemi-finalHardSun 18 Oct · 18:15

Nao NishinoJPN34%

VSSlight edge · Penickova A.

Annika Penickova(8)WTA #549 · USA66%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Penickova A.

34%66%

Penickova A. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Nishino N.5.5/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Penickova A.4.5/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

CountryWon 69% in USA (55)Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 549

Hard ELO1 542

Last 108–2

ELO1 586

Hard ELO1 562

Last 106–4

Nao Nishino faces Annika Penickova in the W35 Redding semi-final on hard. Nao Nishino brings the better recent hard form (8 of 10).

Key context

Last match: Nao Nishino advanced when Vivian Wolff retired.
Last match: Annika Penickova dropped just 6 games past Duru Soke.
Fatigue load: Annika Penickova carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Nishino N.Penickova A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss8–26–4

Season win rate86% (6–1)69% (20–9)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15491586

Hard-court ELO15421562

Serve vs returnLast 7 vs 20 matches

1st-serve points won65%62%

Return points won52%48%

Aces / match0.42.6

ClutchLast 7 vs 20 matches

Break points saved53%52%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

18:15 local

SurfaceHard · medium-slow

Forecast27°C · Overcast

Wind8 km/h

Humidity14%

Court pace medium-slow: favours grinders.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Nao Nishino vs Annika Penickova — W35 Redding Semi-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-18/nishino-vs-penickova-w35-redding-sf?utm_source=cite (as of 18 October 2026).