UMPIRY
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Carlos Taberner vs Goncalo Marques — Lisbon Qualifying Round of 32

LisbonQ32QualifyingClaySun 18 Oct · ~14:30COURT LISBOA · After 2 matches
Carlos TabernerATP #361 · ESP85%
VSStrong favourite · Taberner C.
Goncalo MarquesATP #594 · POR15%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Taberner C.
85%15%

Clear edge for Taberner C. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 7 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Taberner C.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Marques G.5.8/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on clayInformative
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 759
Clay ELO1 741
Last 105–5
Age29
EarningsCareer $1.6M2026 $110K
ELO1 552
Clay ELO1 477
Last 105–5
Age20
EarningsCareer $19K2026 $11K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Taberner C.Marques G.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–55–5
Season win rate45% (9–11)60% (21–14) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1759 (ahead)1552
Clay-court ELO1741 (ahead)1477
Serve vs returnLast 20 vs 32 matches
1st-serve points won66%70% (ahead)
Return points won40%40%
Aces / match1.84.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 20 vs 32 matches
Break points saved54%61% (ahead)

When it starts

COURT LISBOA · After 2 matches · Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

COURT LISBOA · ~14:30 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast23°C · Partly cloudy
Wind20 km/h
Humidity44%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Taberner C.Marques G.
7Days since last match7
1Matches · 7 days1
22Games · 7 days18 — fresher
1 — fresherMatches · 14 days2
22 — fresherGames · 14 days37
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Carlos Taberner vs Goncalo Marques — Lisbon Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-18/marques-vs-taberner-lisbon-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 18 October 2026).