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Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Sijia Wei — W15 Shenzhen Final

W15 ShenzhenFinalHardSun 18 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Khomutsianskaya D.
61%39%

Khomutsianskaya D. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Khomutsianskaya D.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Wei S.4.2/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 8 on hardSupports Khomutsianskaya D.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Khomutsianskaya D.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Wei S.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 715
Hard ELO1 690
Last 107–3
Age22
PlaysRight
ELO1 682
Hard ELO1 659
Last 107–3
Age22
PlaysRight

Daria Khomutsianskaya faces Sijia Wei in the W15 Shenzhen final on hard. Daria Khomutsianskaya holds the paper edge — ranked #275, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Khomutsianskaya D. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Khomutsianskaya D.Wei S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–37–3
Season win rate65% (30–16) (ahead)58% (19–14)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1715 (ahead)1682
Hard-court ELO1690 (ahead)1659
Serve vs returnLast 39 vs 26 matches
1st-serve points won64%64%
Return points won48% (ahead)46%
Aces / match2.3 (ahead)2.0
ClutchLast 39 vs 26 matches
Break points saved56% (ahead)51%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast30°C · Clear
Wind14 km/h
Humidity63%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Khomutsianskaya D.Wei S.
9Days since last match12 — fresher
0Matches · 7 days0
0Games · 7 days0
3Matches · 14 days2 — fresher
69Games · 14 days33 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Sijia Wei — W15 Shenzhen Final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-18/khomutsianskaya-vs-wei-w15-shenzhen-f?utm_source=cite (as of 18 October 2026).