Roger Pascual Ferra vs Duncan Chan

UMPIRY

Fort WorthQ32QualifyingHardSun 18 Oct · ~12:30COURT V1 · After 1 match

Roger Pascual FerraATP #652 · ESP59%

VSSlight edge · Pascual Ferra R.

Duncan ChanATP #483 · CAN41%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Pascual Ferra R.

59%41%

Pascual Ferra R. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Pascual Ferra R.5.3/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Chan D.6.1/10

Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form6 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Chan D.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 608

Hard ELO1 581

Last 104–6

Age20

EarningsCareer $28K2026 $14K

ELO1 580

Hard ELO1 562

Last 106–4

Age21

EarningsCareer $94K2026 $34K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Pascual Ferra R.Chan D.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss4–66–4

Season win rate63% (12–7)54% (7–6)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16081580

Hard-court ELO15811562

Serve vs returnLast 14 vs 12 matches

1st-serve points won63%68%

Return points won41%41%

Aces / match1.03.9

ClutchLast 14 vs 12 matches

Break points saved62%57%

When it starts

COURT V1 · After 1 match · Followed by

1Miyoshi K. v Chopra K.Starts at 11:00
2This match: Pascual Ferra R. v Chan D.This match
3Vandecasteele Q. v Antonius M.Followed by
4Fenty A. v Bigun K.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

COURT V1 · ~12:30 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast19°C · Clear

Wind4 km/h

Humidity39%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Roger Pascual Ferra vs Duncan Chan — Fort Worth Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-18/chan-vs-ferra-fort-worth-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 18 October 2026).