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Martin Borisiouk vs Matthew Dellavedova — M25 Qian Daohu Final

M25 Qian DaohuFinalHardSun 18 Oct · 01:30 UTC
Martin BorisioukATP #869 · BLR34%
VSSlight edge · Dellavedova M.
Matthew Dellavedova(2)ATP #283 · AUS66%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Dellavedova M.
34%66%

Dellavedova M. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Borisiouk M.5.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Dellavedova M.4.3/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form7 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Borisiouk M.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 638
Hard ELO1 617
Last 108–2
Age26
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $29K2026 $3K
ELO1 702
Hard ELO1 676
Last 108–2
Age26
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $179K2026 $35K

Martin Borisiouk faces Matthew Dellavedova in the M25 Qian Daohu final on hard. Matthew Dellavedova holds the paper edge — ranked #283. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Borisiouk M.Dellavedova M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–28–2
Season win rate74% (17–6) (ahead)71% (49–20)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16381702 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16171676 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 13 vs 39 matches
1st-serve points won80% (ahead)65%
Return points won40% (ahead)39%
Aces / match7.7 (ahead)2.8
ClutchLast 13 vs 39 matches
Break points saved61% (ahead)58%

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Borisiouk M.Dellavedova M.
11Days since last match18 — fresher
0Matches · 7 days0
0Games · 7 days0
3Matches · 14 days0 — fresher
69Games · 14 days0 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Martin Borisiouk vs Matthew Dellavedova — M25 Qian Daohu Final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-18/borisiouk-vs-dellavedova-m25-qian-daohu-f?utm_source=cite (as of 18 October 2026).