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Zsombor Piros vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez — Maia Semi-final

MaiaSemi-finalClaySat 17 Oct · 11:00CENTER COURT · Next on
Zsombor Piros(3)ATP #114 · HUN63%
VSSlight edge · Piros Z.
Alejo Sanchez QuilezATP #375 · ESP37%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Piros Z.
63%37%

Piros Z. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Piros Z.6.5/10
Marginal edge
Sanchez Quilez A.3.8/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+352 Clay Elo edgeSupports Piros Z.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1661Supports Piros Z.
Recent run5-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Sanchez Quilez A.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Sanchez Quilez A.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 842
Clay ELO1 746
Last 107–3
Age27
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.1M2026 $248K
ELO1 676
Clay ELO1 615
Last 106–4
Age21
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $92K2026 $40K

Zsombor Piros faces Alejo Sanchez Quilez in the Maia semi-final on clay. Zsombor Piros is the paper favourite — ranked #114, a roughly 350-point clay Elo advantage — but Alejo Sanchez Quilez arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 6 on clay to Zsombor Piros's 4 of 6.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Piros Z.Sanchez Quilez A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate69% (45–20) (ahead)60% (33–22)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1842 (ahead)1676
Clay-court ELO1746 (ahead)1615
Serve vs returnLast 60 vs 49 matches
1st-serve points won69% (ahead)65%
Return points won40%42% (ahead)
Aces / match3.8 (ahead)1.7
ClutchLast 60 vs 49 matches
Break points saved66% (ahead)56%

When it starts

CENTER COURT · Next on · Starts at 11:00
  • 1This match: Piros Z. v Sanchez Quilez A.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTER COURT · 11:00 local
SurfaceClay · slow
Forecast21°C · Mainly clear
Wind3 km/h
Humidity70%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Piros Z.Sanchez Quilez A.
2Days since last match2
2 — fresherMatches · 7 days4
34 — fresherGames · 7 days97
4 — fresherMatches · 14 days5
90 — fresherGames · 14 days115
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Zsombor Piros vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez — Maia Semi-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-17/piros-vs-quilez-maia-sf?utm_source=cite (as of 17 October 2026).