Magdalena Frech faces Han Shi in the Ningbo Open - Ningbo qualifying round of 32 on hard. Magdalena Frech is the paper favourite — ranked #56, a roughly 430-point hard Elo advantage — but Han Shi arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Magdalena Frech's 5 of 10.
Frech M. and Shi H. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Frech M. went 0–3 (0%) against them, Shi H. 2–1 (67%). Shi H. came out better against 2 of 3 comparable opponents, Frech M. against 0 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (lower-tier event).
Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.
Umpiry, "Magdalena Frech vs Han Shi — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-17/frech-vs-shi-ningbo-open-ningbo-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 17 October 2026).