Massimo Giunta vs Gianluca Cadenasso — San Gregorio di Catania Semi-final

San Gregorio di CataniaSemi-finalClaySat 17 Oct · 14:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Cadenasso G.
39%61%

Cadenasso G. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Giunta M.5.4/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Cadenasso G.5.1/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on clayAgainst the prediction · Giunta M.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on clayAgainst the prediction · Giunta M.
Recent run3-match win streakBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
Long matches3 three-setters in 14 daysBoth players
ELO1 642
Clay ELO1 583
Last 106–4
Age22
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $60K2026 $21K
ELO1 718
Clay ELO1 678
Last 106–4
Age22
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $237K2026 $139K

Massimo Giunta faces Gianluca Cadenasso in the San Gregorio di Catania semi-final on clay. They have met once, Massimo Giunta leading 1–0. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Giunta M. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Giunta M.Cadenasso G.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate61% (25–16) (ahead)53% (18–16)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16421718 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO15831678 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 35 vs 32 matches
1st-serve points won73% (ahead)66%
Return points won37%43% (ahead)
Aces / match6.2 (ahead)2.6
ClutchLast 35 vs 32 matches
Break points saved65% (ahead)50%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

14:30 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast20°C · Overcast
Wind9 km/h
Humidity63%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Giunta M.Cadenasso G.
1Days since last match1
3Matches · 7 days2 — fresher
86Games · 7 days54 — fresher
5Matches · 14 days5
138Games · 14 days128 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Massimo Giunta vs Gianluca Cadenasso — San Gregorio di Catania Semi-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-17/cadenasso-vs-giunta-san-gregorio-di-catania-sf?utm_source=cite (as of 17 October 2026).